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theory-based selection of exogenous variables. For comparison between forecasts we apply ARIMA method as well. Our approach …
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We model the impact of financial conditions on asset market volatilities and correlations. We extend the Spline-GARCH model for volatility and DCC model for correlation to allow for inclusion of indexes that measure financial conditions. In our empirical application we consider daily stock...
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This paper investigates the performance of Financial Condition Indexes (FCIs) in forecasting four key macroeconomic variables of EU economies. A wide range of carefully selected financial indicators include Rates and Spreads, Stock Market Indicators and Macroeconomic Quantities. The results...
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The stock expected returns are positively related to operation performances and negatively related to investment and financing activities, we check the three indicators with significant predictive power in the cross-section of stock returns, across large, medium and small cap stock groups: Net...
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