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We use past forecast errors to construct confidence intervals and other estimates of uncertainty around the Reserve …
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Both anecdotal accounts and experimental evidence suggest that people underestimate how long it will take them to complete future tasks. A possible reason for this tendency is that people remember tasks as taking less time than they actually did, with these biased memories causing a...
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We propose a novel method to forecast corporate earnings, which combines the accuracy of analysts' forecasts with the … their long-term performance. Our model outperforms the most popular methods from the literature in terms of forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854157
forecast accuracy over and above the constituent methods. Second, a handful of macroeconomic predictors are found to have …
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