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Recent empirical findings suggest that macroeconomic variables are seldom normally dis- tributed. For example, the distributions of aggregate output growth-rate time series of many OECD countries are well approximated by symmetric exponential-power (EP) den- sities, with Laplace fat tails. In...
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Artificial Intelligence -- 5. The Question of Conjecture in Economics and Probability: On the Applicability of Probability Theory …This book investigates applications of probability theory to random events from an economic standpoint and considers … well as introducing key tenets of probability theory and how these can be applied to economic events. The book considers …
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