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In the past two decades increasing computational power resulted in the development of more advanced claims reserving techniques, allowing the stochastic branch to overcome the deterministic methods, resulting in forecasts of enhanced quality. Hence, not only point estimates, but predictive...
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effect of monetary policy? We consider a version of the Barro–Gordon credibility problem in which monetary policy signals an …
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different methods to study the credibility of the detected fluctuation bands. The detected lack of credibility in a high … percentage of the sample is robust to the use of several credibility tests, suggesting that economic agents do not behave as if …
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Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based...
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