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Rational bias in macroeconomic forecasts
Laster, David; Bennett, Paul; Geoum, In Sun - In: The quarterly journal of economics 114 (1999) 1, pp. 293-318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001368948
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Rational bias in macroeconomic forecasts
Laster, David Scott; Bennett, Paul; Geoum, In Sun - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000982517
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Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts
Laster, David; Bennett, Paul B.; Geoum, In Suk - 2007
This paper develops a model of macroeconomic forecasting in which the wages firms pay their forecasters are a function of their accuracy as well as the publicity they generate for their employers by being correct. In the resulting Nash equilibrium, forecasters with identical models, information,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049781
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Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts
Laster, David; Bennett, Paul B.; Geoum, In Suk - 1998
This paper develops a model of macroeconomic forecasting in which the wages firms pay their forecasters are a function of their accuracy as well as the publicity they generate for their employers by being correct. In the resulting Nash equilibrium, forecasters with identical models, information,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071417
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Der Forschungsoutput von Wirtschaftswissenschaftlern im Karriereverlauf : eine anreiztheoretische und ökonometrische Analyse
Schlinghoff, Axel - In: Entlohnung, Arbeitsorganisation und personalpolitische …, (pp. 187-215). 2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001658808
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Using survey information for improving the density nowcasting of U.S. GDP
Çakmaklı, Cem; Demircan, Hamza - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 41 (2023) 3, pp. 667-682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448419
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Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters in the Survey of professional forecasters
Stark, Tom - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000968599
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Over-reaction in macroeconomic expectations
Bordalo, Pedro; Gennaioli, Nicola; Ma, Yueran; … - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914241
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Overreaction in macroeconomic expectations
Bordalo, Pedro; Gennaioli, Nicola; Ma, Yueran; … - In: The American economic review 110 (2020) 9, pp. 2748-2782
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012430908
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Rational choice as a toolbox for the economist : an interview with Itzhak Gilboa
Gilboa, Itzhak; Herfeld, Catherine - In: Erasmus journal for philosophy and economics : EJPE 7 (2014) 2, pp. 116-141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489833