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actors. In this paper, we formulate a new theory able to describe "hedging needs" as well as the role of speculators in the … the sample February 2000 November 2014, using WTI and CFTC data. Our theory is well supported by econometric evidence. In …
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Oil market VAR models have become the standard tool for understanding the evolution of the real price of oil and its impact in the macro economy. As this literature has expanded at a rapid pace, it has become increasingly difficult for mainstream economists to understand the differences between...
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Baumeister and Hamilton (2019a) assert that every critique of their work on oil markets by Kilian and Zhou (2019a) is without merit. In addition, they make the case that key aspects of the economic and econometric analysis in the widely used oil market model of Kilian and Murphy (2014) and its...
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