Showing 91 - 100 of 247
This expository paper surveys a selection of the literature on the private provision of public goods using the Kolm triangle -- the Kolm triangle (Kolm, 1970) is the analogue of an Edgeworth box in an economy with a public good
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775257
We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian model averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is distributed among many models, suggesting the superiority of BMA over any single model. Out-of-sample predictive results support that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782596
We define the plutocratic bias as the difference between inflation measured according to the current official CPI and a democratic index in which all households receive the same weight. We estimate that during the 1990s the plutocratic bias in Spain amounts to 0.055 percent per year. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782683
This paper extends the analogy, previously established by Learner (1978a), between a Bayesian inference problem and an economics allocation problem to show that posterior modes can be interpreted as optimal outcomes of a bargaining game. This bargaining game, over a parameter value, is played...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782835
Prais (1958) showed that the CPI computed by statistical agencies can be interpreted as a weighed average of household price indexes, the weight of each household determined by its total expenditures. We decompose the difference between the standard CPI and a democratically weighed index (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782893
Recent research has focused on studying the patterns in the digits of closely followed stock market indices (see e.g. Ley and Varian (1994) and Koedijk and Stork (1994)). In this paper we find that the series of one-day returns on the Dow-Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) and the Standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012789985
Prais (1958) showed that the standard CPI computed by most statistical agencies can be interpreted as a weighted average of household price indexes, where the weight of each household is determined by its total expenditures. In this paper, we decompose the CPI plutocratic gap-i.e. the difference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760870
We present a simple model of management teams where the time it takes to make decisions is related to the size of the committee. We characterize the situations where larger or smaller sizes of the management team are desirable depending on the covariance structure of the signals that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763879
Bulgaria is in the midst of a serious demographic transition that will shrink its population at one of the highest rates in the world within the next few decades. This study analyzes the macroeconomic and fiscal implications of this demographic transition by using a long-term model, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973513
This paper considers the effects of inaccurate real-time output data on fiscal management, both with respect to budgetary planning and fiscal surveillance. As newer and better information becomes available, output data available in real time get revised and are likely to conflict with final...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974718