A simple model of inflation is proposed. The model is set in discrete time and consists of a demand for money equation, a government budget constraint, and two alternative mechanisms for the formation of expectations of the inflation rate--adaptive expectations and rational expectations. It is...

The optimal rules for the allocation of advertising expenditure when that expenditure affects the demand function facing the firm have been derived for a variety of processes and are relatively well known. The purpose of this paper is to extend the analysis of advertising to include recruitment...

The behaviour of the sterling-Deutschmark exchange rate is examined over a period from November 1988 to May 1994. At the beginning of this time period sterling did not belong to the ERM, it entered in October 1990 and was withdrawn in September 1992. In this study the effect of operating within...

This paper examines the UK FT30 stock index during the Second World War period 1939-1945 for weak form efficiency, showing that there is substantial structure in the data, albeit in two distinct subsets. Fitting a GARCH (p, q) model to each data subset yields R -2 values of around 19%; clear...

The validity of the weak form of the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH) is tested for the FTSE 30 share index during a period when government economic policy towards the financial markets was relatively unchanging. The EMH would suggest random walk behaviour but this does not occur; instead the...