We develop a simple rational model of active portfolio management that provides a natural benchmark against which to evaluate observed relationship between returns and fund flows. We show that many effects widely regarded as anomalous are consistent with this simple explanation. In the model,...

As a consequence of optimal investment choices, firms' assets and growth options change in predictable ways. Using a dynamic model, we show that this imparts predictability to changes in a firm's systematic risk, and its expected return. Simulations show that the model simultaneously reproduces:...

We study the price discovery of municipal bonds, an important OTC market. As in markets for consumer goods, prices quot;rise faster than they fall.quot; Round-trip profits to dealers on retail trades increase in rising markets but do not decrease in falling markets. Effective half-spreads...

We develop and analyze a model of a multi-stage investment project that captures many features of Ramp;D ventures and start-up companies. An important feature these problems share is that the firm learns about the potential profitability of the project throughout its life, but that...

We develop a simple rational model of active portfolio management that provides a natural benchmark against which to evaluate observed relationship between returns and fund flows. Many effects widely regarded as anomalous are consistent with this simple explanation. In the model, investments...

We develop and analyze a model of a multi-stage investment project that captures many features of R&D ventures and start-up companies. An important feature these problems share is that the firm learns about the potential profitability of the project throughout its life, but that research and...

We present a simple model that rationalizes performance persistence in hedge fund limited partnerships. In contrast to the model for mutual funds of Berk and Green (2004), the learning in our model pertains to profitability associated with an innovative trading strategy or an emerging sector,...

Municipal bonds are often "advance refunded." Bonds that are not yet callable are defeasedby creating a trust that pays the interest up to the call date, and pays the call price. Newdebt, generally at lower interest rates, is issued to fund the trust. Issuing new securitiesto fund payments on...

We derive a parsimonious rational model of active portfolio management that reproduces many regularities widely regarded as anomalous. Fund flows rationally respond to past performance in the model even though performance is not persistent and investments with active managers do not outperform...

As a consequence of optimal investment choices, firms' assets and growth options change in predictable ways. Using a dynamic model, we show that this imparts predictability to changes in a firm's systematic risk, and its expected return. Simulations show that the model simultaneously reproduces:...