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Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical … assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of … inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the …
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effect of monetary policy? We consider a version of the Barro–Gordon credibility problem in which monetary policy signals an … inflation-biased CB's private information on both these dimensions. We find that greater CB competence—more private information …. Inflation expectations become more responsive to monetary policy, which mitigates the CB's temptation to produce surprise …
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This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness … (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy (in)effectiveness, 2019). The PTI shows that when an economy is heavily … and policies aimed to stimulate output growth dissipate into domestic currency depreciation and higher inflation, with …
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expansion) by focusing on domestic inflation, the foreign exchange (FX) rate, and the quantity of FX traded in the local market …. The empirical results suggest that the inflation rate is largely driven by foreign price and oil shocks. Nevertheless, the … the exchange rate, and slightly increasing the inflation rate. The latter finding has important implications for the …
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