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We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a traditional Phillips curve … to affect inflation through (the common part of) domestic demand and supply conditions. Our most important result is that … the common component of changes in unit labor costs has a notable impact of inflation. We also find evidence that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605057
Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605073
and food price shocks on a given set of countries. Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among … exist among regions. In addition, a considerable part of the observed headline inflation rises is attributable to foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605108
This paper empirically assesses which factors trigger prolonged periods of inflation for a sample of 91 countries over … inflation starts. The empirical results suggest that for all cases considered a more fixed exchange rate regime and lower real … policy rates increase the probability of an inflation start. For developing countries, other relevant factors include food …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605155
theoretical predictions and simulations are corroborated when forecasting aggregate US inflation pre- and post 1984 using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605201
In this paper we analyse the pass-through of a commodity price shock along the food price chain in the euro area. Unlike the existing literature, which mainly focuses on food commodity prices quoted in international markets, we use a novel database that accounts for the role of the Common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605214
ingredient to model. In fact, I found that the estimated premium is a very powerful predictor of inflation. It overcomes, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605217
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605275
: it was flexible enough for sufficient macroeconomic policy autonomy to bring about differential inflation rates, and … der makroökonomischen Politik, mit der sich die Inflation der Handelspartner unterbieten ließ, und gleichzeitig …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011971596
Summary This paper is devoted to a new estimation of the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608832