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-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice …
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higher food shares in CPI baskets, fuel intensities, and pre-existing inflation levels were more prone to experience … scores seem to have contained the impact of these shocks better. The effect of the presence of inflation targeting regimes … inflation responds to international commodity price shocks …
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, and current account liberalization; and (ii) inflation and various determinants, including lagged inflation, the nominal … and the real exchange rate are significant determinants but not the exchange regime or liberalization; and for inflation …, the lagged inflation rate, nominal exchange rate, and the de facto regime are significant. Exchange rate pass-through is …
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This paper estimates a small open economy model for Egypt to analyze inflation, output dynamics and monetary policy … markets and a gradual move towards inflation targeting can help support a successful disinflation strategy for Egypt …
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