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Survey-based indicators such as the consumer confidence are widely seen as leading indicators for economic activity, especially for the future path of private consumption. Although they receive high attention in the media, their forecasting power appears to be very limited. Therefore, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285747
After the dramatic rescue package for the euro area, the governing council of the European Central Bank decided to purchase European government bonds - to ensure an orderly monetary policy transmission mechanism. Many observers argued that, by bond purchases, national fiscal policies could from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285759
The current instruments in the EU to deal with debt and liquidity crises include among others the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and the European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism (EFSM). Both are temporary in nature (3 years). In terms of an efficient future crisis management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285769
We present a mixed integer, multi-period, cost-minimizing carbon capture, transport and storage (CCTS) network model for Europe. The model incorporates endogenous decisions about carbon capture, pipeline and storage investments; capture, flow and injection quantities based on given costs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285773
The EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is the main instrument to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in Europe. Subject to a country specific limit, installations in the EU ETS can use EU allowances (EUA) and certified emissions reductions (CERs) generated through the Clean Development Mechanism...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285774
This paper investigates how households form their perceptions of consumer price inflation. Using data from the harmonized EU consumer survey, we find that inflation perceptions are inefficient and highly heterogeneous, yet contemporaneously related to the actual rate of inflation. Consequently,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285800
Nowadays, it is widely believed that greater disclosure and clarity over policy may lead to greater predictability of central bank actions. We examine whether communication by the European Central Bank (ECB) adds information compared to the information provided by a Taylor rule model in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285832
This paper assesses the probability method for quantifying EU consumer survey data on perceived and expected inflation. Based on household level data from the Swedish consumer survey that asks for both qualitative and quantitative responses, it is found that the theoretical assumptions of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285833
This paper analyzes the response of the European stock markets to the monetary policy shocks by the European Central Bank using the heteroskedasticity based approach of Rigobon (2003). We find that monetary policy tightening has a heterogeneous impact on the Euro Area sectors on the day the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285850
According to KENDRICK (1996, p. 1), National Accounts have become an indispensable tool for macroeconomic analysis, projections, and policy formulation. The paper elaborates on this statement, addressing policy domains that rely heavily on National Accounts data. Yet - useful as they are -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285864