Why do banks remain passive? In a model of bank-firm relationship we study the trade-off a bank faces when having defaulting firms declared bankrupt. First, the bank receives a payoff if a firm is liquidated. Second, it provides information about a firm’s type to its competitors. Thereby,...

Upstream producers that possess market power, sell forwards with a lengthy duration to regional electricity companies (REC). As part of the liberalization of the electricity market, RECs have been privatized and exposed to a possible bankruptcy threat if spot prices have fallen below their...

We address a number of comparative issues relating to the performance of failure prediction models for small, private firms. We use two models provided by vendors, a model developed by the National Bank of Belgium, and the Altman Z-score model to investigate model power, the extent of...

At the request of the Minister for Climate and Energy, Paul Magnette, who is also responsible for Consumer Affairs, the NBB's Microeconomic Analysis Service conducted an investigation into the link between payment arrears for mobile telephony and arrears on loan repayments. In this inquiry,...

Ausgehend von einer im Jahre 1983 durchgeführten Untersuchung von 72 Fällen zu Typen von Unternehmenskrisen wird eine Studie vorgelegt, die mit gleichem Erhebungsinstrumentarium auf ein vergleichbares, aber deutlich aktuelleres Erhebungsmaterial von 53 kritischen Unternehmensreportagen im...

Seit 1999 die Insolvenzordnung eingeführt wurde, können sich Privatpersonen, die sich überschuldet haben, in einem Insolvenzverfahren entschulden. Dafür muss der private Schuldner zunächst die sechsjährige Wohlverhaltensphase durchlaufen, während derer sein Einkommen oberhalb einer...

Modelling the link between the global macro-financial factors and firms’ default probabilities constitutes an elementary part of financial sector stress-testing frameworks. Using the Global Vector Autoregressive(GVAR) model and constructing a linking satellite equation for the firm-level...