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Based on annual data for growth and inflation forecasts for Germany covering the time span from 1970 to 2007 and up to … assumption of the test. The rationality of inflation forecasts is more doubtful than those of growth forecasts. …
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This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around monetary policy actions of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, this paper focuses on the asymmetries in bond market expectations, as measured by the skewness of...
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