This paper investigates the question as to whether the volatility of the monetary aggregates arises primarily from the behavior of the monetary base or the monetary multipliers. The findings indicate that the monetary multipliers are more volatile than the base, regardless of the definition of...

Financial deregulation in 1980 potentially altered key relationships between residential fixed investment (RFI) and key macroeconomic variables. This study uses a vector error correction model to examine relationships between RFI, money, interest rates, and output in pre-deregulation and...

This paper examines the ability of the slope of the yield curve to serve as a predictor of regional recessions. The ability of interest rate spreads to predict recessions has received considerable attention at the aggregate level. This paper offers evidence on the usefulness of rate spreads in...

The Allen elasticity of substitution (AES) is widely used to study monetary asset substitution and structural demand stability. C. Blackorby and R. R. Russell (1989) show that the AES is uninformative and that the Morishima elasticity of substitution (MES) is the appropriate measure, a point...