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With the global economy heading towards a severe oil crunch probably by 2015 or thereabouts, an analysis of Saudi oil fundamentals is causing the world disquiet and worry bordering on panic. Oil-importing nations have long treated Saudi Arabia as an infinitely deep well of crude oil supplies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123903
Petroleum Exporting Countries in the crude oil exports have single-product, in other words income from selling oil or as the most important source of export income, or at least as one of the most important sources of income is considered to be exported.The analysis and policy issues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104639
This paper develops a long-run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the "Dutch disease" and the "resource curse", which primarily focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107701
We use a new micro data set that covers all oil fields in the world to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model of the oil industry with two alternative market structures. In the first, all firms are competitive. In the second, OPEC firms act as a cartel. This effort is a first step...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955791
There is mounting evidence that global oil demand will peak between 2020 and 2040, supported by rational economics (inter-fuel competition and efficiency gains) and environmental policies. The perspective of a peak in world oil demand poses a serious economic threat to petrostates whose GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018070
The fall in oil prices (-40% in June 2014) in the stock market disappears these days from the headlines. British Petroleum currently has the lowest price/earnings ratio in the industry with only a factor of 7. If we focus not only on stocks, but in speculate portfolio mix with oil, gold or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020747
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The global history of oil politics, from World War I to the present, can teach us much about world politics, climate change, and international order in the twenty-first century. When and why does international order change? The largest peaceful transfer of wealth across borders in all of human...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590605
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