The hypothesis that futures prices are an unbiased predictor of spot price is a joint hypothesis that the market is efficient and there is no risk premium. In order to test separately unbiasedness and market efficiency, cointegration techniques must be applied. The goal of this paper is assess...

Australian live cattle exports were a growing $1 billion trade from northern Australia to Indonesia for finishing and slaughter for Indonesian consumers. This all changed in recent years with the trade being disrupted by a series of constraints which have shrunk the trade and raised uncertainty....