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The basic model for high-frequency data in finance is considered, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is shown that this nonparametric model is in Le Cam's sense asymptotically equivalent to a Gaussian shift experiment in terms of the square root of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009125537
The topic of volatility measurement and estimation is central to financial and more generally time series econometrics. In this paper, we begin by surveying models of volatility, both discrete and continuous, and then we summarize some selected empirical findings from the literature. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130524
; factor ; federal reserve bank ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; monetary policy ; parameter estimation error ; proxy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130538
adequately "proxy" for estimated factors. -- diffusion index ; factor ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; parameter estimation error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130556
This paper develops tests for comparing the accuracy of predictive densities derived from (possibly misspecified) diffusion models. In particular, we first outline a simple simulation-based framework for constructing predictive densities for one-factor and stochastic volatility models. Then, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130687
Rationality of early release data is typically tested using linear regressions. Thus, failure to reject the null does not rule out the possibility of nonlinear dependence. This paper proposes two tests that have power against generic nonlinear alternatives. A Monte Carlo study shows that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130721
production; and exchange rates. -- diffusion index ; factor ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; parameter estimation error ; proxy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130733
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063818