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This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices …
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for inflation. We find that these forecasts do not contain the intended information. Rather, they either have no … use the Bank of England's mode forecasts than the Bank of England's mean forecasts. -- Forecast evaluation ; risk … forecasts ; Bank of England inflation forecasts …
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small set of simple bivariate closed-loop time-series models for the prediction of price inflation and of long- and short …
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