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Combining judgment and models

Monti, Francesca - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 42 (2010) 8, pp. 1641-1662

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008823661

A more predictive index of market sentiment

Feldman, Todd - In: The journal of behavioral finance : a publication of … 11 (2010) 4, pp. 211-223

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008841859

Real-time measurement of business conditions

Aruoba, S. Borağan (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586278

How well does employment predict output?

Kliesen, Kevin L. - In: Review / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 89 (2007) 5, pp. 433-446

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003611916

Predicting growth rates and recessions : assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions

Dovern, Jonas (contributor); Ziegler, Christina (contributor) - 2008

In this paper we analyze the power of various indicators to predict growth rates of aggregate production using real-time data. In addition, we assess their ability to predict turning points of the economy. We consider four groups of indicators: survey data, composite indicators, real economic...