van Binsbergen, Jules H. - 2010
dividend growth rates of the aggregate stock market. This approach aggregates information contained in the history of price-dividend … ratios and dividend growth rates to predict future returns and dividend growth rates. We find that returns and dividend … growth rates are predictable with R-squared values ranging from 8.2% to 8.9% for returns and 13.9% to 31.6% for dividend …