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Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2000

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001539419

Künstliche neuronale Netze und ihre Beziehungen zur Statistik

Widmann, Gabriele - 2001

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001543805

Forecasting with vector autoregressive (VAR) models subject to business cycle restrictions

Simkins, Scott P. - In: International journal of forecasting 11 (1995) 4, pp. 569-583

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001203020

Testing for parameter instability in linear models

Hansen, Bruce E. - In: Journal of policy modeling : JPMOD ; a social science … 14 (1992) 4, pp. 517-533

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001130451

Business-cycle analysis with a Markov-switching model

Goodwin, Thomas Harry - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 11 (1993) 3, pp. 331-339

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001146827

STLS US-VECM6.1: a vector error-correction forecasting model of the US economy

Hoffman, Dennis L.; Rasche, Robert H. - 1997

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000990476

Theorie und Empirie realer Konjunkturzyklen : mit 73 Tabellen

Lucke, Bernd - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000991907

The reliability of US gross national product

Leeuw, Frank de - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 8 (1990) 2, pp. 191-203

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001086691

Probit-Models for the analysis of non-metric panel data

Arminger, Gerhard - In: Wirtschafts- und sozialwissenschaftliche Panel-Studien …, (pp. 193-209). 1997

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001322050

Coordinating agents' actions : the influence of macroeconomic information on firm-level expectations

Grégoir, Stéphane; Lengart, Fabrice - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001396413

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