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[ES] Partiendo de los valores semestrales de cada una de las nueve variables que componen el índice de riesgo país elaborado por Euromoney, en el periodo comprendido entre septiembre de 1992 y septiembre de 2002, para 41 países europeos y 30 países americanos, los autores proponen la...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277771
Investing or trading in a country, whether domestic or foreign, involves some elements of risks and uncertainties depending upon its systemic, economic, financial, political, and business operating environments. Understanding the phenomenon of country risk is enormously vital for global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262737
We analyze the transmission of the financial crisis of 2007 to 2009 to 415 country-industry equity portfolios. We use a factor model to predict crisis returns, defining unexplained increases in factor loadings and residual correlations as indicative of contagion. While we find evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266597
The driving force behind the well-documented medium term momentum effect in stock returns is subject of much debate. Empirical papers that aim to find the determinants of this return continuation, seem to be almost exclusively restricted to US stock markets. Consequently, regional effects have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005288522
If country and currency risk premiums are positively correlated, a negative international liquidity shock harms twice the economy, thereby substantially increasing interest rates. This harmful positive correlation between country and currency risk premiums observed in some countries is called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328851
In this paper, we examine the determinants of mortgage loans interest rates in Colombia during the period January 2002 - June 2006. We find that the main macroeconomic determinant is public debt interest rates. At the micro level, we find that credit risk is the main determinant. We demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082479
Many empirical studies in the area of foreign direct investment (FDI) exclusively focus on flows between industrialized countries. This article makes a contribution to the still relatively sparse literature on FDI in emerging markets by estimating determinants of German FDI flows to Latin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083150
Since the Latin American debt crisis of the early 80s, country risk analysis has accounted for a significant part of the work of research and risk management departments of banks, insurance companies, rating agencies, financial market regulators, and multinational companies. Country risk is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022307
The costs of debt crises are not invariant to the foreign debt instrument composition: bank loans or bonds. The lending boom of the 1990s witnessed considerable variation over time and across countries in the debt instrument used by emerging market (EM) borrowers. This paper tests how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005147067
Capital flows often confront central banks with a dilemma: to contain the exchange rate or to allow it to float. To tackle this problem, an equilibrium model of capital flows is proposed. The model captures sudden stops with shocks to the country risk premium. This enables the model to deal with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262761