The work of Robert Hall (1978) on the stochastic implications of the rational expectations-permanent income (RE-PI) theory has initiated numerous empirical analysis. The purpose of this paper is to reexamine this question using the methodology recently proposed by Abel and Mishkin (1983) on a...

Canadian economists have devoted some attention to the study of regional cycles. In the Quebec-Ontario case, the "wid ening" hypothesis has emerged as the empirical consensus: this hypot hesis states that the gap between the two regional economies increase s in a recessionary period. This paper...

To overcome the over-parameterization problems typically associated with the estimation of large VAR systems, Litterman (1979, 1986) and Doan, Litterman, and Sims (1984) have proposed the inclusion of statistical a priori information. In this paper, we investigate how economic a priori...

Using Kalman filtering and dynamic factor analysis, the authors decompose aggregate output, consumption, and investment for the G7 countries into factors that are (1) common across all countries and aggregates, (2) common across aggregates within a country, and (3) specific to each individual...

Using Kalman filtering and dynamic factor analysis, we decompose fluctuations in real aggregate output, consumption, and investment for the G7 countries into factors that are (i) common across all countries and aggregates, (ii) common across aggregates within a country, and (iii) specific to...

Lors du trimestre d’été 2004, une quarantaine d’étudiants du programme de B.A.A. de HEC Montréal se sont inscrits à un cours de politique économique de deuxième année donné sous un format en ligne à distance. La formule pédagogique retenue qui ne nécessitait aucune présence en...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the checklist approach that the Bank of Canada has followed in one way or another over the last two decades is likely to lead us to the stated objective of price stability. The analysis of Canadian monetary policy is performed through the...