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Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal … about inflation and growth. Ambiguity can help resolve the puzzling fact that upward-sloping yield curves have persisted … despite positive inflation shocks changing from negative to positive news about growth in the last twenty years. Investors …
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The difference between corporate bond yields at issuance and in secondary markets, the "issuance premium", spikes in bad times, increasing firms' costs of capital. Leveraging new bond-level data, I estimate a model of primary markets with imperfectly elastic investors and endogenous firms'...
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