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Changes in economic sentiment indicators before and after economic crisis (position of Visegrad Group and Germany in EU)

Necadova, Marta - In: Central European business review : CEBR 8 (2019) 4, pp. 55-85

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157655

Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts : evidence from a survey among professional forecasters

Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, Gaby - 2017

The paper reports results of a survey among active forecasters of the German business cycle. Relying on 82 respondents from 37 different institutions, we investigate what models and theories forecasters subscribe to and find that they are pronounced conservative in the sense, that they...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159601

German economy overcomes slowdown only gradually

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; Groll, Dominik; … - 2019

capital goods. In the meantime, the investment climate in Germany has also deteriorated noticeably. As a result, companies are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140365

Nowcasting East German GDP growth : a MIDAS approach

Claudio, João Carlos; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver - 2019

. However, official data on quarterly regional GDP in Germany are not available, and hence, regional GDP forecasts do not play …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146339

The ifo export climate : a leading indicator to forecast German export growth

Grimme, Christian; Lehmann, Robert - In: CESifo forum : a quarterly journal on European issues 20 (2019) 4, pp. 36-42

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150028

German economy : industry struggles to shake of the crisis : DIW economic outlook

Michelsen, Claus; Clemens, Marius; Hanisch, Max; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 9 (2019) 49/50, pp. 424-430

The German economy remains weak as of the fourth quarter of 2019. However, although industrial production is continuing its downward trend, there are signs of a slow recovery. The manufacturing sector is likely to expand production gradually beginning in 2020; therefore, it is less likely the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012151733

Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2019 : Prognose und Wirklichkeit

Nierhaus, Wolfgang - In: Ifo-Schnelldienst 73 (2020) 1, pp. 58-59

Das ifo Institut beleuchtet seit Jahren kritisch die Güte der eigenen Konjunkturprognosen, die jeweils im Dezember eines Jahres t für das darauffolgende Kalenderjahr t + 1 abgegeben werden (vgl. Nierhaus 2019).1 Unter Einschluss der zum Prognosezeitpunkt noch unbekannten amtlichen Ergebnisse...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012151962

Harmonization of the ifo business survey's micro data

Link, Sebastian - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 240 (2020) 4, pp. 543-555

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167656

Germany at the brink of recession

Ademmer, Martin; Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Fiedler, Salomon; … - 2019

quarter. Germany would thus formally be in a technical recession. However, the slowdown that began in 2018 has so far been a … that economic momentum in Germany has cooled off more than in many other countries. To some extent, this is due to the fact … weigh particularly on production in Germany. Against this backdrop, exports are likely to pick up only gradually. Private …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116912

Learning to forecast business conditions : evidence from German reunification

Triebs, Thomas P.; Tumlinson, Justin - In: ifo DICE report 17 (2019) 3, pp. 28-29

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116988