"The acclaimed author of the influential bestseller The Black Swan, Nicholas Nassim Taleb takes a next big step with a deceptively simple concept: the "antifragile." Like the Greek hydra that grows two heads for each one it loses, people, systems, and institutions that are antifragile not only...

We develop a simple model of the foreign exchange market in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one.This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble...

In this paper we develop a model of the exchange rate. The existence of transactions costs introduces an important non-linearity. Agents have different beliefs about the future exchange rate. We show that this simple model creates great complexity in the market which is characterised by the fact...

Am Beispiel des Konjunkturmodells von Kaldor wird gezeigt, wie die Kontrolle eines chaotischen Systems mit begrenzten Resourcen auch dann noch durchgeführt werden kann, wenn es sich bei dem zu stabilisierenden Gleichgewicht nicht mehr um einen sogenannten Sattelpunkt handelt. Diese...