This paper introduces nowcasting causality as the mixed-frequency version of instantaneous causality. We analyze the relationship between nowcasting and Granger causality in a mixed-frequency VAR and illustrate its impact on the significance of high-frequency variables in mixed-frequency...

The aim of this paper is to study the concept of separability in multiple nonstationary time series displaying both common stochastic trends and common stochastic cycles. When modeling the dynamics of multiple time series for a panel of several entities such as countries, sectors, firms,...

Quite often, the goal of the game when developing new coincident indexes of the economic activity is the comparison with NBER turning points. Using Monte Carlo simulations, this note illustrates that for the USA, any random linear combination of the four coincident variables would do the job as...

This note argues that large VAR models with common cyclical feature restrictions provide an attractive framework for parsimonious implied univariate final equations, justifying on the one hand the estimation of homogenous panels with dynamic heterogeneity and a common factor structure, and on...

This note argues that large VAR models with common cyclical feature restrictions provide an attractive framework for parsimonious implied univariate final equations, justifying on the one hand the estimation of homogenous panels with dynamic heterogeneity and a common factor structure, and on...

We investigate the presence of common cyclical features at different data points separated by a threshold variable. Our two-step procedure consists of first estimating the unknown threshold in a VAR or a VECM (Tsay, 1998). Next, cofeature test-statistics are carried out on the parts.