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Prediction risk and the forecasting of stock market indexes

Haefke, Christian; Helmenstein, Christian - 1995

In most of the empirical research on capital markets, stock market indexes are used as proxies for the aggregate market development. In previous work we found that a particular market segment might be less efficient than the whole market and hence easier to forecast. In this paper we extend the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291063

The NAIRU-concept: A few remarks

Pichelmann, Karl; Schuh, Ulrich - 1996

This note gives a brief survey of main theoretical and empirical issues with respect to the NAIRU concept. According to modern labour market literature NAIRU is defined as the rate of unemployment at which inflation stabilizes in the absence of any wage-price surprises. Conventional thinking...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291066

Heterogeneous consumers, vertical product differentiation and the rate of innovation

Zweimüller, Josef; Brunner, Johannes K. - 1996

This paper studies the impact of income inequality on the level of innovative activities in a model where innovations result in quality improvements. The market for quality goods is characterized by a natural oligopoly with three types of consumers - rich, middle class and poor. In general, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291067

Entry threat in Duopoly

Peitz, Martin - 1996

An oligopolistic market with vertical product differentiation is parametrized in cost parameters. This allows me to study the impact of the technology of the firms (cost parameters) on market structure, conduct, and performance. Firms which differ only by the order of the sequential move to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291068

Consumption based capital asset pricing and the Austrian Stock Exchange

Böheim, René; Boss, Michael - 1996

Using data from the Vienna Stock Exchange we investigate three different types of consumption based capital asset pricing models: the well known two state model of Mehra and Prescott, the model of Rietz, which includes also a crash state, and an own four state model. The aim of this Vienna Stock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291074

Technology transfer with moral hazard

Choi, Jay Pil - 1996

This paper develops an incomplete contract model of the licensing relationship that is susceptible to the moral hazard problem. The optimal contractual form of licensing derived in the model generates predictions that seem to be consistent with actual practice. For instance, the introduction of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291075

Unanticipated money

Cooley, Thomas F.; Hansen, Gary D. - 1997

quantitative equilibrium business cycle theory. A stochastic growth model with money is constructed that has the feature, following …The role of unanticipated changes in money growth for aggregate fluctuations is reexamined using the methods of … average price level, due to unanticipated changes in the aggregate money supply, as though they were changes in market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291076

Testing the Modigliani-Miller theorem directly in the lab: A general equilibrium approach

Qiu, Jianying; Mahagaonkar, Prashanth - 2009

In this paper, we directly test the Modigliani-Miller theorem in the lab. Applying a general equilibrium approach and not allowing for arbitrage among firms with different capital structures, we are able to address this issue without making any assumptions about individuals' risk attitudes and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291078

Are earthquakes needed to shake economics?

Schettkat, Ronald - 2010

-'natural rate theory'- dominated interpretations of economic trends and policy prescriptions since the 1970s. Public policy …. Economic trends were filtered through the lens of the 'natural rate theory,' focusing on labor market institutions only and … confronts the economic trends with the interpretations of the 'natural rate theory' and argues that they hardly fitting the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291082

Exploring organizational crises from a legitimation perspective: Results from a computer simulation and illustrative cases

Breitsohl, Heiko - 2008

Organizational crises are rare, yet they fundamentally influence the evolution of organizations. An aspect of crises deserving more attention is the interaction of organizations and their stakeholders during a crisis from a legitimation perspective. This paper presents a simulation model mapping...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291085