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panel regressions, we find a negative relationship between legal central bank independence (CBI) and inflation. This result … holds for three alternative measures of CBI and after controlling for international inflation, banking crises, and exchange … fails, however, to find a causal relationship running from CBI to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400080
. There is strong evidence of a positive and significant association between the pass-through and the average inflation rate … across countries and periods. The inflation rate, moreover, dominates other macroeconomic variables in explaining cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400110
The paper estimates two time-varying parameter models of Chilean inflation: a Phillips curve model and a small open …; forecasts that include the pre-announced inflation target as a regressor are relatively better; the Phillips curve model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400160
This paper provides some empirical estimates on how tightly is it feasible to control inflation in a very small open … inflation and output variability that are achievable under a range of alternative monetary policy rules. These frontiers … illustrate that inflation stabilization is more challenging in Iceland than in other industrial countries primarily because of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400186
Spanish inflation. The domestic price gap turns out to be the major explanatory variable for inflation, even after the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400204
inflation combined with a free float seems to be the ultimate option. The paper shows how to design and operationalize such a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401300
This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the … projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves … goodness-of-fit criteria, with an equilibrium-correction model that pins down the convergence of core inflation to its longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401301
Growth and inflation in Turkey have been volatile over the last two decades. It would, therefore, be useful to identify … indicators that anticipate economic conditions and inflation. This paper investigates the predictive performance of economic … indicators for inflation and real output growth in Turkey. We find that (i) the forecasting ability of individual indicators is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401315
As Albania has succeeded in reducing inflation to very low levels, understanding the driving forces behind the behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401358
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401386