A sovereign that is issuing debt denominated in foreign currency is exposed to a mismatch between the value of its assets that can be used to serve the debt, denominated in local currency, and the value of its liability. During economic crisis, when the probability of default by the sovereign...

This paper uses synchronization indicators of domestic and foreign fundamentals to choose suitable currency allocation of public external debt. The selection of explanatory variables for exchange rate volatility is motivated using a New Keynesian Policy model that predicts that not only...