Der Autor analysiert die theoretische und empirische Preisbeziehung zwischen fixen Aktienindexterminkontrakten auf den gleichen Kontraktgegenstand (DAX) mit unterschiedlicher Fälligkeit. Die Untersuchung dieser Beziehung ist von der empirischen Kapitalmarktforschung bislang mit Hinweis auf die...

Alternative strategies for predicting stock market volatility are examined. In out-of-sample forecasting experiments implied-volatility information, derived from contemporaneously observed option prices or history-based volatility predictors, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine...

This paper considers the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. A partially linear error correction model is proposed where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. The model is estimated using data on the DAX index...