We show that using data which are properly available in real time when assessing the sensitivity of asset prices to economic news leads to different empirical findings than when data availability and timing issues are ignored. We do this by focusing on a particular example, namely Chen, Roll and...

In 2009, KOF was mandated to analyse the business tendency surveys (BTS) conducted on a monthly basis by the Banco Central de Reserva del Perú (BCRP) and to assess the potential to develop coincident and/or leading indicators for core economic variables of the Peruvian economy. The analysed...

We develop a composite indicator measuring the performance of national innovation systems. The indicator takes into account both hard factors that are quantifiable (such as R&D spending, number of patents) and soft factors like the assessment of preconditions for innovation by managers. We apply...

We develop a composite indicator measuring the performance of national innovation systems. The indicator takes into account both 'hard' factors that are quantifiable (such as R&D spending, number of patents) and 'soft' factors like the assessment of preconditions for innovation by managers. We...

Diffusion index models have received considerable attention from both theoreticians and empirical econometricians in recent years. One reason for this is that datasets with many variables are increasingly becoming available and being utilized for economic modelling, and another is that common...

Central banks regularly monitor select financial and macroeconomic variables in order to obtain early indication of the impact of monetary policies. This practice is discussed on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York website, for example, where one particular set of macroeconomic indicators is...

This paper introduces two composite indices of globalization. The first is based on the Kearney/Foreign Policy magazine and the second is obtained from principal component analysis. They indicate the level of globalization and show how globalization has developed over time for different...

The paper combines the short-run link between increases in aggregate demand and growth of GDP, which leads to a reduction in unemployment, with a definition of the equilibrium rate of unemployment that is independent of the growth rate. We first present evidence from the EU and the US that...

The financial crisis of 200709 has highlighted the importance of developments in financial conditions for real economic activity. The authors estimate the effect of current and past shocks to financial variables on U.S. GDP growth by constructing two growthbased financial conditions indexes...