This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation … even in the period of the financial and economic crisis. Monetary indicators are useful to predict inflation at the longer … money and inflation, central banks should implement exit strategies from the current policy path, as soon as the financial …

The paper proposes two econometric models of inflation for Azerbaijan: one based on monthly data and eclectic, another … based on quarterly data and takes into account disequilibrium at the money market. Inflation regression based on monthly … data showed that consumer prices dynamics is explained by money growth (the more money, the higher the inflation), exchange …

predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental … inflation, if the forecasting equations are based on measures of excess liquidity. …

revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …