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The study assesses the level of integration among the three Greater China economies (namely China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan) and examines the suitability of a Greater China currency union. Currently, the three economies have extensive trade and investment linkages. Our analyses show that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005558154
Standard economic models predict that the choice of an exchange rate regime has important implications for the interdependency of national monetary policies, which is sometimes measured by the degree of inflation transmission across borders. In this paper, we examine how inflation rates in two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005558155
We evaluate whether the Renminbi (RMB) is misaligned, relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference. A framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used. We find that, once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted for,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005558165
We observe that daily highs and lows of stock prices do not diverge over time and, hence, adopt the cointegration concept and the related vector error correction model (VECM) to model the daily high, the daily low, and the associated daily range data. The in-sample results attest to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635569
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005228680
This paper examines whether test results characterizing per capita output as either trend or difference stationary are sensitive to whether output is valued in domestic currency terms, or in some international numeraire, such as the Summers-Heston international dollar. Using the conventional ADF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005471654
This paper adopts a different approach to the study of the persistence of U.S. GNP. First, this paper uses a more powerful version of the ADF test developed by Elliot, Rothenberg and Stock (1992). Second, we also examine the results from a unit root test that has trend stationarity as the null...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119083
This paper employs recently developed multivariate methods to study the predictability of international stock market returns. The authors find evidence of significant common predictable components within the Pacific, the European, and the North American stock markets using region-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005429981
This article presents a systematic and extensive empirical study on the presence of Markov switching dynamics in three dollar-based exchange rates. A Monte Carlo approach is adopted to circumvent the statistical inference problem inherent in the test of regime-switching behavior. Two data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005435836
The status of real and financial integration of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan is investigated using monthly data on one-month interbank rates, exchange rates, and prices. Specifically, the degree of integration is assessed based on the empirical validity of real interest parity, uncovered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005435848