Intro -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Foreword -- 1 The Phillips Curve in Historical Context -- 2 Fifty Years of the Phillips Curve -- 3 Forecasting Inflation -- 4 The Labor Market and the Phillips Curve -- 5 Inflation Expectations -- 6 Evidence on Price Determination -- 7 Is the Phillips...

This article assesses the importance of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates for the conduct of monetary policy. The article employs a small, forward-looking model developed by Fuhrer and Moore. The model is simulated under several policy rules that involve either high- or...

In the conventional view of inflation, the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) captures most of the persistence in inflation. The sources of persistence are twofold. First, the "driving process" for inflation is quite persistent, and the NKPC implies that inflation must "inherit" this...

A steady decline in the core rate of inflation over the past few years has prompted the question: What are the economic consequences when the inflation rate drops below zero?