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While some of the recent surge of oil prices can be attributed to robust global demand at a time of tight production capacities, commentators occasionally also blame the impact of speculators for part of the price pressure. We propose an empirical oil market model with heterogeneous speculators....
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There has been a systematic increase in the volatility of the real price of crude oil since 1986, followed by a decline … in the volatility of oil production since the early 1990s. We explore reasons for this evolution. We show that a likely …
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