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The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
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-term and long-term components regarding oil market volatility. The results indicate that a global demand shock is the only … factor found not only to be positive but to also significantly increase long- and short-term oil volatility in the full … speculative demand shock has helped to stabilize long-term oil volatility during the post-2004 period. The results also suggest …
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agricultural commodities and crude oil. Price and volatility transmission effects between EU and World butter prices, as well as … transmission effects between EU and World butter prices. EU butter shocks further spillover to palm oil volatility. In addition …, there is evidence that oil prices spillover to World butter prices and World butter volatility. …
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Introduction: the Texas paradox -- And then there was light: from chaos to order in the kerosene era (1859-1911) -- No Rockefeller, no peace: boom-bust returns (1912-1933) -- Why are oil prices prone to boom bust cycles? -- The Texas era of price stability: US supply controls and international...
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