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-term components in terms of oil market volatility. The results show that the global demand shock is the only one factor found to be … positive and significantly increasing long- or short-term oil volatility in the full sample. This is consistent with a classic …-term oil volatility during the post-2004 period. The results also suggest the existence of asymmetric impacts on the short …
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I examine the relative information roles among West Texas Intermediate spot crude price and four futures contracts (F1 through F4) with different maturities. Using a cointegrated system with a non-unitary cointegrating vector, I address price discovery by investigating which price is more...
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The unparalleled surge of the crude oil price after 2003 has triggered a heated scientific and public debate about its ultimate causes. Unexpected demand growth particularly from emerging economies appears to be the most prominently supported reason among academics. We study the price dynamics...
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