Showing 81 - 90 of 286,386
A remarkable feature of the crude oil market is a dramatic rise in oil price volatility over time which has been … accompanied by a substantial fall in oil production volatility. We investigate the sources of this opposite evolution of both oil … market variables. Our main finding is that the observed volatility puzzle can be rationalized by the fact that the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156448
The potential presence of jumps and time-varying volatility in convenience yields can lead to abnormally fat tails … futures prices time horizons (1, 3-, 6-, 9- and 12-month ahead), allowing for the both jumps and time-varying volatility. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844106
While some of the recent surge of oil prices can be attributed to robust global demand at a time of tight production capacities, commentators occasionally also blame the impact of speculators for part of the price pressure. We propose an empirical oil market model with heterogeneous speculators....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723800
market in a general-equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility …We use a new micro data set that covers all oil fields in the world to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model … of oil prices. Our model predicts a large decline in this volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955791
In this paper, we introduce the concept of statistical arbitrage through the definition of a trading strategy that captures persistent anomalies in long-run relationships among assets. We devise a methodology to identify and test mean-reverting statistical arbitrage, and to develop trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822032
) was measured at a too high level within the Covid-19 outbreak. Volatility spillover analysis shows that crude oil and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822263
Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex post volatility. In contrast, volatility was … price declines. This finding is robust to nonparametric and GARCH measures of volatility. Further, the U.S. dollar … appreciation exerted a strong influence on volatility during the recent crash; in contrast, the impact of shocks on equity markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970942
This paper theoretically and empirically investigates the financialization of crude oil markets. We propose a simple correlation model between stock and crude oil prices based on the supply and demand relationship taking into account the impact of stock markets on crude oil markets. Based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001935