In order to provide short run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for France, we assess the forecasting …

and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several …

and France. The best fit models of inflation as a linear and lagged function of labor force change rate and unemployment … decreasing inflation for the next ten years. In France, inflation lags by four years behind labor force change and unemployment …

. The relationship obtained for France is characterized by A0=-1, A1=4, A2=0.095, t0=4 years, and t1=4 years. For GDP … Banque de France monetary policy introduced in 1995 does not disturb the long-term links. All the individual relationships … force change indicates that since 1995 the Banque de France has been wrongly applying the policy fixing the monetary growth …

hypothesis necessarily holds in a European country like Germany where hysteretic effects may invalidate it. Inspired by the … rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co …