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This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using explicit...
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piecewise linear model with a higher inflation-unemployment tradeoff for the regime of low unemployment rates fits the data very …
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inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the … a beneficial impact on RPIX inflation over the last few years. We show that deviations of unemployment from the short …-run NAIRU measures prove helpful in predicting inflation and we demonstrate their usefulness in Taylor-type policy rules for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517881
potential output overestimated) before the recent crisis. It is fair to say that the employed estimation techniques failed to … insignificant relation between inflation and the output gap or unemployment gap, which questions the adequacy of the Phillips curve … into account in conventional methods for the estimation of potential output and the output gap. Since both, potential …
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-off between inflation and a measure of excess demand due to nominal rigidities, while in the long run inflation is constant at the … Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU). By contrast, Gordon (1997) in his "triangle model" of inflation … Gordon (1997). Moreover, inflation expectations are measured directly from surveys on household's inflation expectations and …
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