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This study analyses the interaction between the aggregate trading behaviour of technical models and stock price fluctuations in the S&P 500 futures market. It examines 2,580 widely used trading systems based on 30-minutes prices. The sample comprises trend-following as well as contrarian models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435224
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2,580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435253
The deepening of the recent crisis was driven by the simultaneous devaluation of stock wealth, housing wealth and commodity wealth. The potential for this devaluation process had been "built up" during the boom of stock prices, house prices and commodity prices between 2003 and 2007. Hence, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435285
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011466546
It is well-known that stock prices fluctuate far more than dividends. Traditional valuation methods are not able to depict this fact. In this paper we incorporate excess volatility into a simple DCF model by considering an autoregressive cash flows process with random coefficients. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230962
A long tradition in macro finance studies the joint dynamics of aggregate stock returns and dividends using vector autoregressions (VARs), imposing the cross-equation restrictions implied by the Campbell-Shiller (CS) identity to sharpen inference. We take a Bayesian perspective and develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306481
The adoption of takeover protections, from the empirical side, has been focused to find supporting evidence to the entrenchment hypothesis or to the shareholder value hypothesis. The expected result is a negative impact on shareholder wealth when decisions for additional takeover defenses are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377524
Die Transmission monetärer Impulse auf zunehmend integrierten Finanzmärkten ist von herausragender Bedeutung für die Zentralbanken. Falls die starke Ausweitung der Liquidität in den letzten Jahren zu den Preisübertreibungen an den Finanzmärkten beigetragen hat, könnte die Einbeziehung von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377866
We study price efficiency and trading behavior in laboratory limit order markets with asymmetrically informed traders. Markets differ in the number of insiders present and in the subset of traders who receive information about the number of insiders present. We observe that price efficiency (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397152