For several decades, demographic forecasts had predicted that the majority of Germany's cities and rural areas would … significant changes during the period under study, for example refugee immigration to Germany. Family migration, on the other hand …

residuals shows that the model gives better forecast accuracy than the most commonly used methods in Germany. The modeling … approach performs better than common projection and forecast methods in Germany while integrating the often discussed link … distributions of each ASSFR as well as the Total Fertility Rate (TFR). The forecast shows, ceteris paribus, a further increase in …

steigt. Die Autoren prognostizieren, wie sich das Erwerbspersonenpotenzial in Deutschland bis 2050 entwickeln wird. Im … considerably. The authors quantify the reduction of the workforce in Germany until 2050. Moreover, they analyse whether immigration …, immigration will notably increase labour supply in Germany. Only in 2030 will the workforce shrink back to its current level. …