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This paper proposes a general statistical framework for systemic financial stress indexes. Several existing index designs can be represented as special cases. We introduce a daily variant of the ECB's CISS for the euro area and the US. The CISS aggregates a representative set of stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012623092
We propose a novel empirical approach to inform monetary policymakers about the potential effects of policy action when facing trade-offs between financial and macroeconomic stability. We estimate a quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) for the euro area covering the real economy, monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374777
This paper proposes a general statistical framework for systemic financial stress indices which measure the severity of financial crises on a continuous scale. Several index designs from the financial stress and systemic risk literature can be represented as special cases. We introduce an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374786
Das vorliegende Papier geht der Frage nach, wie eng der deutsche Kapitalmarktzins über den Zeitraum von Mitte der 70er Jahre bis Anfang 1998 an die Zinsverhältnisse in den USA gebunden war. Häufig geäußerten Vennutungen folgend wird daneben überprüft, ob die "Auslandsabhängigkeit" des...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478853
In this paper we propose a composite indicator that measures multidimensional sovereign bond market stress in the euro area as a whole and in individual euro area member states. It integrates measures of credit risk, volatility and liquidity at short-term and long-term bond maturities into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142029
This paper develops composite indicators of financial integration within the euro area for both price-based and quantity-based indicators covering money, bond, equity and banking markets. Prior to aggregation, individual integration indicators are harmonised by applying the probability integral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142163
The debate on the sustainability of public finances is closely related to the analysis of the financial and macroeconomic consequences of government debt accumulation. Focusing on the USA, Germany and Italy over the 1983-2003 period, the central issue addressed in this paper is how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003358611
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765227