The upswing in Germany is starting to falter. In the third quarter, the economy shrank for the first time in three years. This decline was primarily due to special factors. In particular, problems with the new vehicle certification standard (WLTP) affected the automotive industry. In addition to...

The strong economic upswing in Germany has taken a break. For the current year, we revise our GDP growth forecast down by 0.5 percentage points to 2.0 percent. However, the slowdown in economic activity at the beginning of the year is mainly due to temporary factors. We therefore expect growth...

The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by 2.3 percent in 2019 after an increase of 2.2 percent in 2017. With capacity utilization already above normal levels at the current juncture, our forecast implies that the...

The German economy is running at full steam. Economic activity has further accelerated in the current year and leading indicators suggest that the rapid pace of expansion will continue in the coming year. We expect gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 2.3 percent in 2017 (calendar-adjusted:...

The pronounced expansion of the German economy accelerates further. Compared to our summer forecast, we adjust our forecast for the current and the next year upwards, and we expect gross domestic product to grow by 2 percent in the current year and 2.2 percent in the next year (summer forecast:...

In the second quarter of 2017, global output has reaccelerated after a somewhat muted start into the year. For the first time in a number of years, there is substantial economic momentum in almost all major economies at the same time. We expect world GDP growth on a PPP basis to rise to 3.7...

The momentum of the expansion of the German economy is strong. Unchanged from our winter and spring forecasts, we expect a rise in gross domestic product by 1.7 percent in the current year and by 2 percent in 2018. This implies that throughout the forecasting period the expansion of aggregate...

The expansion in Germany continues. We leave our forecast as of December 2016 unchanged and expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent in 2017 and by 2 percent in 2018. The somewhat weaker growth rate in 2017 results from the lower number of working days. Overall, the expansion is set to broaden. While...

The expansion in Germany is set to continue despite headwinds from abroad. We leave our forecast as of autumn unchanged and expect GDP to grow by 1.9 percent in 2016 and by 1.7 percent in 2017. The effects of the Brexit-vote on the German economy will be modest in this period. The long-run...

The economic upswing in Germany is set to continue despite heavy headwinds from abroad. We expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent in 2017 and by 2.1 percent in 2018 after an increase of 1.9 percent in the current year. The slight deceleration in GDP growth in 2017 is due to temporary factors, in...