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We use a new micro data set to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model of the oil industry. This effort is a first step towards studying the importance of ongoing structural changes in the oil market in a general-equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the...
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In this paper, we analyze how lack of credibility and transparency of monetary and fiscal policies undermines the …-country evidence that monetary policy transparency and fiscal credibility reduce the incidence of export price volatility on output …
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This article contributes to the debate about the impact of the U.S. fracking boom on U.S. oil imports, on Arab oil exports, and on the global price of crude oil. First, I investigate the extent to which this oil boom has caused Arab oil exports to the United States to decline since late 2008....
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-response analysis and find that a global demand shock is as important as oil supply and oil demand shocks in determining the dynamics of …
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