The paper investigates the nexus between inventory investment and the change in aggregate production for 29 European countries over the period 2000-2009. A special interest is taken in the Great Recession of 2008/09. For most countries, a fairly uniform pattern emerges. Inventory investment is...

In a recent paper I argued that Baumol's (1967) model of unbalanced growth offers a ready explanation for the observed secular rise in health care expenditure (HCE) in rich countries (HARTWIG 2006). Baumol's model implies that HCE is driven by wage increases in excess of productivity growth. I...

In this article Jochen Hartwig replies to Antanda's and Reed's replication study published earlier this year (IREE, 2020-1).

The paper is concerned with the traditional "assignment" to be found in many textbooks that holds central bankers responsible for inflation – and inflation only – while government politicians are recommended to care for the short-term stabilisation of the economy (or not to interfere at all,...

The growing importance of services has led to significant structural change in advancedeconomies, with the service sector now accounting for the largest share of employment indeveloped countries. In his seminal model of the so-called cost disease of services, WilliamBaumol noted that the prices...

Der Stabilitäts- und Wachstumspakt (SWP) steht nicht erst in der Kritik, seit immer mehr Länder Schwierigkeiten haben, seine Vorgaben zu erfüllen. Dennoch müssen Länder, die eine Währungsunion bilden, ein Interesse daran haben, ihr Finanzgebaren gegenseitig zu kontrollieren, da die...

Okun's Law postulates a stable relationship between quarterly output growth and changes in (un)employment. This proposition has so far been tested with macroeconomic data at the highest level of aggregation. The paper goes beyond that in extending the analysis to industry data from Switzerland,...

Keynes's essay "Relative Movements of Real Wages and Output" is widely believed to be an important amendment to his General Theory because, in this essay, Keynes relaxed his core assumption of decreasing marginal returns to labour. Non-decreasing marginal returns, however, do not sit comfortably...

The paper combines Baumol's model of structural change with a model of aggregate demand growth in the Keynesian-Kaleckian tradition to predict the dynamics of aggregate employment. The model for the demand regime is estimated with - and Baumol's model for the productivity regime is calibrated on...

The Bhaduri-Marglin model is a post-Kaleckian model that allows for studying the impact of functional income distribution on the growth in demand. Over recent years, a number of empirical studies based on this model have aimed at determining whether a redistribution towards profits harms or...