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The results of this paper complement the recent findings of real exchange rates as stationary processes. The standard procedure of applying a battery of unit root tests can be problematic since the tests are sensitive to the specifics of the time-series process. The novelty of the approach we...
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The out-of-sample forecasting performances of two univariate time series presentations for the USD/DEM real exchange rate are compared using quarterly data for the period 1957Q1-1998Q4. The linear AR process is frequently fitted to real exchange rate series because it is sufficient for capturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207169
The out-of-sample forecasting performances of two univariate time series presentations for the USD/DEM real exchange rate are compared using quarterly data for the period 1957Q1-1998Q4.The linear AR process is frequently fitted to real exchange rate series because it is sufficient for capturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147798
There has been serious suspicion of a spurious rejection of the unit roots in panel studies of PPP due to the failure to control for cross-sectional dependence. This article presents evidence of mean-reversion in industrial country real exchange rates in a set up that accounts naturally for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661753
This article presents evidence on mean reversion in industrial countries' real exchange rates in a setup that accounts naturally for cross-sectional dependence, is invariant to the benchmark currency and actually tests for the null of interest, i.e. purchasing power parity. Our results are based...
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